Iran has rebuilt its ballistic missile production capacity far faster than Israeli military and Mossad assessments anticipated following the 2026 war, according to Hebrew media, raising fresh concerns in the Zionist entity over Tehran’s ability to rapidly restore its military capabilities.
The report by The Jerusalem Post said the recovery extends beyond missile production to several sectors of Iran’s military industry, despite extensive damage inflicted on defense-industrial facilities during the roughly 40-day US-Israeli war.
‘Israel’ had faced similar surprises after strikes in October 2024 and June 2025, when its assessments reportedly projected years-long delays in Iran’s ability to restore production. Tehran repeatedly found ways to resume manufacturing at a faster pace than anticipated, according to the report.
JUST IN: Israeli defense officials are reportedly shocked by the speed of Iran’s missile recovery after the 2026 war.
— The Geopolitics (@Newstoday555) August 14, 2026
According to The Jerusalem Post, Iran could rebuild at a rate of 100–300 ballistic missiles per month, potentially restoring its pre-war arsenal by early–mid… pic.twitter.com/CA3DEiL0xS
During the 2026 war, ‘Israel’ and the United States targeted more than 2,600 missile and military-industrial sites and carried out around 30,000 airstrikes. Both countries said at the time that Iran’s production capabilities had been severely degraded.
However, current assessments indicate that Iran has resumed producing new missiles at a pace exceeding Israeli expectations. Among the methods reportedly used was the rapid removal of debris from damaged underground facilities with bulldozers, allowing production to restart.
While post-war estimates placed Iran’s remaining long-range missile stockpile at between 500 and 1,000 missiles, the focus has increasingly shifted to Tehran’s reconstruction rate.
If Iran sustains production of 100 to 300 missiles per month, it could restore its mid-2025 arsenal levels by early or mid-2027 and potentially re-emerge as a major missile threat by 2028, according to JPost.
The development poses a difficult strategic dilemma for ‘Israel’, according to the report: whether to launch another strike against Iran’s missile infrastructure or prioritize the nuclear issue, particularly as US President Donald Trump has shown little interest in making Iran’s ballistic missile program a priority.
Source: Al-Manar English Website